28 Jul · 22:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1455
FormLLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kos
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1523
FormWWWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kos
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 55% · 1.80· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H13-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-12)