29 Jul · 11:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1543
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Molin
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1520
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lasota🌟Lasota covers set handicap as underdog 80% (15)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.