29 Jul · 09:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1593
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pawlik
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1638
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (23)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.