29 Jul · 10:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1600
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pribyl
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1524
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Macurak covers set handicap as underdog 76% (21)
Fair odds · Pribyl
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)