29 Jul · 09:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OV
🇨🇿Ondrej Varecka
ELO 1628
FormWWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Varecka
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1503
FormWLWWL
60%
40%
🌟Sulc covers set handicap as underdog 67% (90)
Fair odds · Varecka
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+125
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)