29 Jul · 09:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1486
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kantor
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1479
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Raska covers set handicap as underdog 72% (50)
Fair odds · Kantor
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H14-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.