29 Jul · 12:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FD
🇨🇿Frantisek Dvorak
ELO 1547
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Dvorak
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1427
FormLWLLW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+120
H2H51-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (51-29)