29 Jul · 08:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1638
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pawlik
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1600
FormLWWWL
53%
47%
🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (23)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.