29 Jul · 12:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SH
🇨🇿Simon Holik
ELO 1482
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Osmera
JO
🇨🇿Jan Osmera
ELO 1580
FormWWWLL
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Holik🌟Holik goes over total as underdog 68% (28)
Fair odds · Osmera
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H6-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)