29 Jul · 10:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TL
🇨🇿Tomas Lysek
ELO 1548
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lysek
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1486
FormLWWLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kantor🌟Lysek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 13% (15)
Fair odds · Lysek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)