29 Jul · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1541
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mrowetz
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1479
FormWWLWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Raska covers set handicap as underdog 72% (50)
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)