29 Jul · 08:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1479
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lysek
TL
🇨🇿Tomas Lysek
ELO 1548
FormLLLLW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Lysek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 13% (15)
Fair odds · Lysek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)