29 Jul · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1653
FormLWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Stapor
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1539
FormWLLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H70-48
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (70-48)