29 Jul · 11:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1504
FormWWLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Stepien
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1650
FormLWWLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 53% · 1.87· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+146
H2H98-69
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (98-69)