29 Jul · 16:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jonas Rak
ELO 1522
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Rak
AV
🇨🇿Adam Vitasek
ELO 1496
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Rak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 8% (12)
Fair odds · Rak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.