29 Jul · 16:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1525
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hendrych
JC
🇨🇿Jiri Cerny
ELO 1495
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Hendrych
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H3-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.