29 Jul · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1462
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sykora
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1538
FormLWWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H4-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)