29 Jul · 16:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1530
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mandrysz
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1500
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 69% (42)
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H10-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.