29 Jul · 13:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DD
🇨🇿Dariusz Drozdz
ELO 1626
FormLWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Drozdz
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1497
FormLLWWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Drozdz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+129
H2H98-72
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (98-72)