29 Jul · 18:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1500
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jr
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1479
FormWWWWW
52%
48%
🌟Sturma covers set handicap as underdog 68% (31)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H52-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.