29 Jul · 16:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1566
FormWLLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Vesecky
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1783
FormWLWLL
33%
67%
🔥 Underdog lean · Brozek
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~79 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+217
H2H43-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+217)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-19)