29 Jul · 19:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1541
FormLLLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Vesecky
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1783
FormWLWLL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+242
H2H12-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+242)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-9)