29 Jul · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1578
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sikora
AV
🇨🇿Adam Vitasek
ELO 1496
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Sikora rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (34)
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)