29 Jul · 17:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1538
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sykora
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1525
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
🌟Hendrych covers set handicap as underdog 65% (52)
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H18-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.