29 Jul · 18:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1566
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.002000
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1571
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · 2000
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H10-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.