29 Jul · 21:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PK
🇨🇿Patrik Klusacek
ELO 1343
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chmelicek
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1387
FormLLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Chmelicek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H20-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.