29 Jul · 18:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1566
FormWLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1718
FormLLWWW
38%
62%
🔥 Underdog lean · Brozek
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+152
H2H4-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)