29 Jul · 17:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1578
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sikora
JR
🇨🇿Jonas Rak
ELO 1522
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Sikora rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (34)
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H9-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-4)