29 Jul · 21:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1517
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vidourek
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kabelka
ELO 1427
FormLWLWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Vidourek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H12-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-5)