29 Jul · 14:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MG
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1616
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Galus
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1528
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Galus
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H45-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-29)