29 Jul · 18:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1505
FormLLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Duch
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1652
FormLWWLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Duch
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 70% · 1.44· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+147
H2H58-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (58-36)