29 Jul · 19:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1482
2-3Final setsDuch won
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1665
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Duch at 58%. The actual result was Adam Duch 2-3 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Adam Duch favoured — closing 1.25
Total 74.5
86 points played
Set handicap
Adam Duch −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Adam Duch −7.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kos is favoured to win, below means Adam Duch.
▲ Pawel Kospre 38% → final 2%
Adam Duch ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsDuch recovered from 42%72 points · 5 games