29 Jul · 22:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1647
FormWLWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Guzy
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1482
FormLLWLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+165
H2H28-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-26)