30 Jul · 13:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇨🇿Jan Muska
ELO 1533
FormLLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Trnka
TT
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1699
FormLWWWL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Trnka
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+166
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)