30 Jul · 10:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FM
🇨🇿Filip Marat
ELO 1372
FormWWWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Kral
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1529
FormWWWWW
37%
63%
🔥 Underdog lean · Marat🌟Kral goes over total as favourite 81% (43)
Fair odds · Kral
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+157
H2H20-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)