30 Jul · 13:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LZ
🇨🇿Lukas Zustina
ELO 1486
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1566
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (42)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H0-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)