30 Jul · 14:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1475
FormLLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Srnka
JS
🇨🇿Jan Srnka
ELO 1606
FormWWWWL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Srnka
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+131
H2H11-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-10)