30 Jul · 13:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jan Sevecek
ELO 1520
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1566
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (42)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H8-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.