30 Jul · 14:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1443
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Tlusty
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1486
FormLLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Tlusty
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H42-40
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.