30 Jul · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlumsky
ELO 1439
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Moravec
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1516
FormWWWWW
44%
56%
🌟Moravec rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)