30 Jul · 09:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1529
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kral
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlumsky
ELO 1439
FormWWLLL
57%
43%
🌟Kral goes over total as favourite 81% (43)
Fair odds · Kral
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H7-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)