30 Jul · 11:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LZ
🇨🇿Lukas Zustina
ELO 1486
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sevecek
JS
🇨🇿Jan Sevecek
ELO 1520
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
🌟Sevecek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (17)
Fair odds · Sevecek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.