30 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1584
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Drozdz
DD
🇨🇿Dariusz Drozdz
ELO 1636
FormWLWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Drozdz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H59-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.