30 Jul · 20:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1373
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kabelka
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kabelka
ELO 1429
FormLWLWL
45%
55%
🌟Chmelicek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 29% (14)
Fair odds · Kabelka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H15-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)