30 Jul · 22:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1503
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Macurak
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1550
FormWWWLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H9-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.