30 Jul · 17:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1384
FormLLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zustina
LZ
🇨🇿Lukas Zustina
ELO 1483
FormWLLLW
42%
58%
🌟Ogrocki stays under total as underdog 64% (28)
Fair odds · Zustina
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)