30 Jul · 20:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1539
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Fojtik
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1503
FormWLLWW
53%
47%
🌟Fojtik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (14)
Fair odds · Fojtik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.