30 Jul · 17:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1742
FormWWWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Bochnak
PD
🇨🇿Petr Dvorak
ELO 1551
FormWLLWW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+191
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+191)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)