30 Jul · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1651
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1742
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Prochazka🌟Prochazka covers set handicap as underdog 83% (18)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)