30 Jul · 22:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kabelka
ELO 1429
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kabelka
PK
🇨🇿Patrik Klusacek
ELO 1340
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kabelka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H14-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-6)